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Oz March CPI Comes in Just under Expectations

The March quarter Consumer Price Index surprised with a smaller than expected rise of just 0.6% after a 0.9% in the December quarter.

The March quarter Consumer Price Index surprised with a smaller than expected rise of just 0.6% after a 0.9% in the December quarter.

That took the annual rate to 1.1% up from 0.9% in the December quarter, according to the latest inflation report from the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

That is a long way from the Reserve Bankโ€™s old 2% to 3% inflation target over time, let alone the new one which calls for inflation to be in the 2% to 3% (on an underlying basis) range for a long period of time.

The key underlying inflation measures favoured by the Reserve bank confirmed the weakness – one of the two measures, the trimmed mean showed the lowest annual growth rate on record – just 1.1%, dipping from the 1.2% reading for the December quarter and last year as a whole.

The trimmed mean and weighted median 9the other core measure) averaged a gain of just 0.35% in the march quarter, which is getting very close to deflation.

The weak result for the quarter came despite an 8.7% jump in petrol prices in the quarter.

The federal governmentโ€™s Home Builder scheme helped keep a lid on housing costs, as did similar schemes in several states.

The ABS said that a 7.3% rise inย prices for accessoriesย โ€œreflected high consumer confidence and demand for discretionary items such as jewellery, allowing jewellers to pass through elevated input costs.โ€

Great for jewellers such as Michael Hill and for accessory retailers such as Lovisa.

Tertiary education costs also fell but the Federal governmentโ€™s resetting of the Medicare and Pharmaceutical Benefits Scheme safety nets saw a 5.3% rise in pharmaceutical product costs.

 

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