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Middle East tensions dominate US markets

22 Apr 2024

Note: Figures recorded at 7:40am AEDT. Updated figures and a video recording will be available at 9am AEDT.

If you would like to watch a video of the outlook report, click here. Thanks for tuning in!

Early trading saw oil spike more than 3 per cent and Middle East tensions take centre stage until the limited nature of Israel’s retaliation against Iran became apparent, easing concerns of any further escalation in the region and calming markets.

The Nasdaq was the worst-performing index, closing down 2.05 per cent, while the S&P 500 slipped 0.88 per cent. Both indexes fell for a sixth straight trading day.

The Dow Jones was the only one of the major indexes to close in positive territory, finishing up 0.56 per cent.

In company news, Netflix fell more than 9 per cent even after quarterly earnings beat on the top and bottom lines. Subscriber numbers jumped 16 per cent year on year. The streamer also said it would no longer report paid memberships starting in 2025. Nvidia collapsed 10 per cent and Super Micro Computer plunged more than 23 per cent.

Those moves come as the S&P 500 posted its worst weekly performance since March 2023 amid growing fears around the path of inflation and monetary policy.

With a loss of more than 3 per cent, it was also the large-cap benchmark’s third straight negative week. A chunk of that downward pressure came from tech stocks, as the sector was the worst-performing in the S&P 500 in both the day and week.

The tech sector fell over 3 per cent on the day on Friday. The best-performing sector was Utilities which closed up 1.47 per cent.

The S&P 500 is now more than 5 per cent off its 52-week high, part of a market pullback that has been largely driven by tempered expectations for rate cuts amid sticky prices. Economists and strategists now see the Federal Reserve waiting until at least September to lower the cost of borrowing money.

The Nasdaq Composite fell 5.5 per cent this week. The tech-heavy index posted its fourth straight down week, its longest negative streak since December 2022. It also marked the Nasdaq’s worst weekly performance since November 2022.

With Friday’s advance, the Dow eked out a gain of 0.01 per cent for the week. That was its first positive week of the last three.

Turning to the Australian landscape, Australia's upcoming quarterly consumer price report is expected to show a drop in annual inflation to 3.4 per cent, slightly below the Reserve Bank's forecast of 3.5 per cent. Despite this, the figures are unlikely to sway the central bank's policy decisions.

Futures

The SPI futures are pointing to a 0.6 per cent fall.

Currency

One Australian dollar at 7.35am was buying 64.17 US cents.

Commodities

Gold has gained 0.66 per cent. Silver has gained 1.62 per cent. Copper has gained 1.34 per cent. Oil is up 0.50 per cent.

Figures around the globe

European markets closed mixed on Friday. London’s FTSE added 0.24 per cent, Frankfurt lost 0.56 per cent, and Paris closed 0.01 per cent lower.

Turning to Asian markets, Tokyo’s Nikkei lost 2.66 per cent, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 0.99 per cent and China’s Shanghai Composite closed 0.29 per cent lower.

On Friday, the Australian share market closed 0.98 per cent lower at 7,567.28.

Ex-dividends

One company is going ex-dividend today. MFF Capital Investments (ASX:MFF) is paying 6 cents fully franked.

Sources: Bloomberg, FactSet, IRESS, TradingView, UBS, Bourse Data, Trading Economics, CoinMarketCap.

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