AMP Capital’s Shane Oliver revisits seven charts he highlighted in January for investors to watch as being critical to the investment outlook this year. Put simply, where are they now?
Read MoreAustralia’s Delta Covid-driven lockdowns in Sydney and Victoria will dominate local markets this week, as will the rising infection numbers in Tokyo and elsewhere.
Read MoreWith so much information constantly at our disposal, oftentimes too much news is bad news. AMP Chief Economist Shane Oliver has some tips on how to quieten things down and stay focused on what’s important.
Read MoreThumbs up from the currency markets yesterday to the news that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand plans to end its $NZ100 billion quantitative easing program next week.
Read MoreMarkets will be wanting to know if the Fed and its Chairman Jay Powell still see inflationary pressures as transitory after US CPI jumped more than anticipated in June.
Read MorePlenty on this week to grab the attention of markets and investors, with the Covid Delta variant, US CPI, key Chinese economic data, Australian job figures and lots more in focus.
Read MoreIn his regular column, AMP Capital’s Shane Oliver explains why he believes that returns from a well-diversified portfolio are likely to be slower but still solid over the next 12 months.
Read MoreThe recent flattening of the Treasury yield curve, usually a sign of slowing growth, is at odds with what is happening in most major economies where economic metrics remain strong.
Read MoreIs the slide in US bond yields due to Chinese governmental interference, a signal of fears about economic growth, or a reaction to another surge in Covid infections around the world?
Read MoreThe Reserve Bank has made a small step towards restoring monetary policy to a normal footing by starting the tapering its quantitative easing bond purchases, a reflection of its confidence in the local economy.
Read MoreAnother busy week for markets around the world: Covid Delta cases, central bank meetings and minutes on monetary policy, inflation and the immediate outlook for oil prices.
Read MoreThe Reserve Bank of Australia’s monetary policy decision tomorrow will be its most important in more than a year, one that will set policy out to early 2024.
Read MoreAs Covid lockdowns across Australia leave us feeling vulnerable once again, AMP Capital’s Shane Oliver has a look at their short- and long-term economic implications.
Read MoreA busy week with all of Sydney, Central Coast and Wollongong locked down for the next two weeks and Covid’s new Delta variant still spreading. Oh, and June 30 is nearly upon us.
Read MoreIn his regular Insights column, AMP Capital Chief Economist Dr Shane Oliver posits 5 reasons why the Fed’s hawkish tone this week shouldn’t cause you to lose too much sleep.
Read MoreJanus Henderson’s Greg Wilensky and Michael Keough discuss the challenges in forecasting interest rates as well as the tools they use to manage risk and generate returns.
Read MoreThere will be more inflation gibber-jabber this week after last week’s Fed meeting moved rate rises to the top of the agenda for markets to fret constantly about for weeks to come.
Read MoreUS markets fell after forecasts from the Fed’s latest meeting revealed projections that included sharply higher inflation this year and the two rate rises in two years time.
Read MoreWhile the outcome of this week’s two-day meeting of the Fed will dominate market attention, for Australia there is an important reminder about the health of our own economy.
Read MoreIn his regular Insights column, AMP Capital Chief Economist Dr Shane Oliver follows up his earlier Inflation Q & A article with another look at the metric that seems to be haunting markets at the moment.
Read MoreThis Thursday’s May US Consumer Price Index numbers will be high, another test of investor belief in the Fed and other central banks who hold that the rise is “transitory”.
Read MoreIn his regular Insights column, AMP Capital Chief Economist Dr Shane Oliver breaks down this week’s GDP report and shares his thoughts on the outlook for Australian growth.
Read MoreNo rate change from the Reserve Bank yesterday, with the official cash rate remaining at 0.1%. But continued strength in commodity prices and wage pressures are looming concerns.
Read MoreIn his weekly Insights column, Dr Shane Oliver from AMP Capital gives an in-depth analysis on inflation, what is driving the recent jump, and what the risks are for investment markets.
Read MoreYarra Capital’s Phil Strano takes a look at the respective risk and return profiles of Yarra’s Australian credit portfolios with comparable credit portfolios/indices in the US.
Read MoreThe Reserve Bank of New Zealand has left its official cash rate at 0.25%, where it has been for the past 14 months, and there doesn’t look much reason for a change anytime soon.
Read MoreAlison Savas from Antipodes looks at both sides of the inflation debate, the structural drivers that could lead to higher inflation and how Antipodes is positioning for inflation.
Read MoreAs Schroders’ Stuart Dear explains, fixed income is in something of a holding pattern as yields consolidate after the recent move higher and inflationary pressures continue to build.
Read MoreJanus Henderson’s Shan Kwee explains the different types of sustainable investments available and the complexities faced in issuing and tracking sustainable investment outcomes.
Read MoreJobs and wages return to the spotlight in Australia as we are part of an accelerating employment boom that continues to surprise analysts as well as monetary and fiscal authorities.
Read MoreIn his weekly Insights column, Dr Shane Oliver from AMP Capital breaks down this week’s Budget, the key measures it contains, and their implications for Australian assets.
Read MoreShareCafe Head Contributor Glenn Dyer provides a first-look at this year’s – well, the last two year’s in a way – Federal Budget. More to follow over the next day or so.
Read MoreThe 2021-22 Federal Budget surfaces tomorrow night and from all accounts it is going to look a lot like the delayed 2020-21 document – lots of spending and few signs of austerity.
Read MoreIn his weekly Insights column, Dr Shane Oliver from AMP Capital considers the re-emergence of geopolitical risk and what to look for over the rest of the year.
Read MoreThe RBA will keep the key cash rate steady but has started moving to cut the size of its support packages to accommodate the strengthening economy.
Read MoreA busy week for data, US quarterly reports and local mining companies, with the chance for more records for stockmarkets as the flood of stimulus spending keeps the markets buoyant.
Read MoreDespite the doomsayers’ prediction of carnage at the first hint of a jump in US inflation, when it actually came it passed without too much pain and bond yields actually fell.
Read MoreIn this week’s Insights column, AMP Capital Chief Economist Dr. Shane Oliver picks apart what the RBA’s monetary stance means for investors and the broader Australian economy.
Read MoreThe US Federal Reserve won’t be changing its key rate until at least 2024 following the two-day meeting that ended in Washington early Thursday morning, Sydney time.
Read MoreNervy markets in Asia weakened yesterday ahead of the Fed meeting statement and media conference for chair Jay Powell, as well as his updated forecasts.
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DOWNLOAD RESEARCH REPORTSecures binding contract with Tier-1 OEMUS based anode active project gathers momentumMagnis Energy Technologies (MNS.ASX) – MNS is planning an anode active facility in the US and recently announced a binding, yet conditional, contract for the supply of anode active with Tesla. The contract is for a minimum 17.5kt/year with an option to purchase another 17.5t/year. Conditions precedent carry a tight development timeframe, with first production scheduled for February 2025. Site selection is underway and co-locating with an OEM on a brownfields site makes sense. Long lead items have been ordered and detailed engineering and design is expected to commence soon. |
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December Quarterly Report: Q2 FY2023Looking past the rain – there’s a rainbow.TerraCom released their operating results for the December quarter FY2023 with operating metrics being in line with our forecasts. Unseasonal rains in both Australia and South Africa contributed to operational and logistical issues across all mines, however guidance for annual production at Blair Athol is unaffected and highlights the quality of TerraCom’s skills in operational management. We continue to like the stable operating metrics around the company’s Australian operations and see potential for the South African operations to benefit from increased management focus given the rationalisation of operations following the closure of the Ubuntu mine. Corporate Connects overall financials remain unchanged as does our target price of $1.35 share. We maintain our forecast for a fully franked quarterly dividend of 7.5c/share to be paid in the March and June quarters of FY2023. |
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DOWNLOAD RESEARCH REPORTHigh performance synthetic anode & cathode materials Building a US based materials supply chainNOVONIX (ASX:NVX) – is scaling a synthetic anode materials plant in the US and piloting nickel rich cathode material in Canada. Why? China is dominant and growing – 100% of global natural anode and 68% of synthetic anode is refined in China. In short, China controls the global midstream battery chain by controlling 60% of chemical refining, 87% of anode manufacturing, 61% of cathode manufacturing and 73% of battery manufacturing. It is global battery supply and price domination at scale. |
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DOWNLOAD RESEARCH REPORTAntisense Therapeutics (ANP) Taking a Quick Approach to Long COVIDThis report looks at the results of a collaborative study Antisense undertook which looked at the largest protein expression database in Long COVID-19 patients who experienced neurologic symptoms well after the primary or acute SARS-CoV-2 infection was considered over (Groups 1 & 2, with 48 subjects Group 2 comprising a single patient from a different clinical site). The symptoms and others experienced by such patients result in a highly significant amount of illness, possibly more than all primary SARS-CoV-2 infections i.e COVID-19. |
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DOWNLOAD RESEARCH REPORT4Q reveals more focus on profit and cash flow• LBY’s 4Q FY22 quarterly activities update showed continued solid growth in top line metrics, albeit slowing, with GMV of NZ$203m (+26% on pcp) and income of NZ$12.1m (+23% on pcp).
• Net Transaction Margin (NTM) disappointed at -0.5%, due to further increase in credit losses from 4.0% to 4.9% of GMV. However, new fraud and credit risk management tools have seen losses recover materially with NTM back to 1.2% in March and LBY is confident of further recovery in coming months.
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DOWNLOAD RESEARCH REPORTSigns MOU with Ford Company – Kachi is now sold out!Lake Resources (LKE. ASX) – LKE has signed two non-binding MOU’s in the space of 10 days. Ford Company (Ford) has signed an MOU for ~25,000t/year and last week Hanwa, a Japanese commodity trader signed a MOU for up to 25,000t/year. Subject to execution, this is an amazing feat as Ford and Hanwa are prepared to enter into longer-term strategic partnerships with LKE. Commercial negotiations are still ongoing but are expected, especially if Ford & Hanwa inject new equity into LKE, to further de-risk the project financing & thus ensure LKE and Kachi are fully funded. |
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DOWNLOAD RESEARCH REPORTStrategic Vanadium-battery growth with Titanium & Iron earnings resiliencyTNG Ltd is an ASX-listed technology owner and developer of the world-class Mount Peake near-surface vanadiferous titanomagnetite deposit. To unlock value, TNG will concentrate ore from its central Northern Territory mine for processing through its patented TIVAN® process produce three premium quality revenue streams: hi-purity vanadium pentoxide (V2O5) for steel alloys and Vanadium Redox Flow batteries, a quality titanium pigment for paints and a premium steel input with >64%Fe iron ore fines. |
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Promising exploration and development update while SOP prices continue to riseTwo recent gravity surveys have considerably exceeded expectations and revealed potential for extensions to the existing MRE at Lake Throssell, plus a material growth opportunity at Lake Yeo. This reinforces the potential for a multi-decade, Tier-1 SOP production hub based around Lake Throssell. TMG is currently completing work towards the PFS due early 2023, including drilling to start in Q3 2022, evaporation trials and permitting activities. Results from these programs will support the PFS and any future resource upgrade. Benchmark SOP prices have risen to ~US$940/t due to recent geopolitical developments. The Oct 2021 Scoping Study assumed a SOP price of US$550/t and contained a sensitivity analysis showing every 10% increase in price drives a +$144m increase in the project NPV of $364m. The c.70% increase above the Scoping Study thus implies a project NPV of ~$1.4bn. |
DOWNLOAD RESEARCH REPORT
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DOWNLOAD RESEARCH REPORTIncreasing our TargetDespite the lower realised oil and gas price, which fell by 5.4% and 19.7% respectively in August, Calima managed to show improvement in its key business metrics. We expect higher production in November due to the contribution by the new Thorsby wells which will be drilled in August/September which will see Calima meet its 2021 production guidance of 4,500 boe/d. |
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DOWNLOAD RESEARCH REPORTEmerging Financial Wealth Advisory GroupWT Financial Group Limited (WTL) is a growing diversified financial services company, founded in 2010 and listed on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) in 2015. Its advice and product offerings are delivered primarily through a group of independent financial advisers operating as authorised representatives of WTL under its Wealth Today Pty Ltd (Wealth Today) and Sentry Group Pty Ltd (Sentry Group) dealer group operations. It has around 275 advisers across more than 200 financial advice practices Australia-wide. It also operates a direct-to-consumer operation under its Spring Financial Group brand. |
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DOWNLOAD RESEARCH REPORTImmutep Taking the Fight to CancerIn May 2021, Corporate Connect analyst Marc Sinatra published a comprehensive research report on ASX-listed biotech Immutep Ltd (ASX: IMM). So impressed was he with IMM that Corporate Connect felt it imperative that a follow-up report be released placing a valuation on the company, because the market was not seeing the vast potential of eftilagimod alpha (efti). This follow-up report has been released today. Using comparables, after adding cash back to their EV estimate and dividing by the total number of issued shares, Corporate Connect now places the fair value of an Immutep share at $A2.20. |
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DOWNLOAD RESEARCH REPORTMarket leading lifelong learning platform technology company in Australia and SE AsiaPayGroup (PYG) delivers multi-country BPO services and cloud SaaS HCM solutions, assisting companies to manage employees in multiple, complex jurisdictions. The company has many growth opportunities, including new clients, new jurisdictions, new products, partner expansion, and new revenue sources. PYG’s scalable business model allows operating leverage and with savings from in-housing third party technology, support margin expansion. |
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DOWNLOAD RESEARCH REPORTMarket leading lifelong learning platform technology company in Australia and SE AsiaOpenLearning (OLL) is a higher education technology company that operates a scalable online learning platform through a software-as-a-service (SaaS) business model and provides a global marketplace of high quality courses for learners of all levels. Its primary customers are education providers based in Australia and South-East Asia (primarily Malaysia). OLL started operations in Australia in 2012 and expanded to Malaysia in 2015, Singapore in 2018, and recently also Indonesia. |
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